Be anti-woke

 A good argument to be anti-woke.

It's election day. Vote!

I too am not an American (unfortunately), but supporting Trump is not just an American imperative, it's a matter for a better world.  Making America great helps it's allies. It hinders the enemies of liberty and justice.  From the outside I can say America is not perfect, but it's a lot closer than anything else the world has seen (Jesus aside). So it is imperative that Americans vote to reclaim what the Constitution intended and not let it continue to be deliberately eroded away by those who seek to change America's destiny to socialism, from those who seek to  profit from it's downfall, from those who have been told lies about America and now have fused them into their distorted worldview. An imperfect America walking in the right direction is better than an imperfect America sprinting in the wrong direction. Every single day.

Please vote Trump, while you still have the opportunity to tell your children you did not allow America to succumb to the tyranny of the state. America's time may come in some distant future, but it must not be this day, and for the reason of apathy.

By the way, there are a hundred reasons to vote for Trump. But when you are doing so, please remember, vote Republican for senate, for congress, for any other office or proposition that is on your ballot.

As an enthusiast of America, as a believer in America I implore you, please go vote Trump today if you have not already done so.

A return to the golden age

You can make it happen America; vote Trump/Vance and vote Republican in 2024. Don't skip out on it.

State of the race - Nov 3rd

So a rush of Kamala Harris leading polls dropped this weekend, one even showing Harris winning Iowa. Tis to laugh. But there are a bunch of New York Times swing state polls spelling good news for Kamala Harris, among others. I just don't buy it.  Here's what I am seeing as of this morning:

I see Trump winning handily in Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia. I also see him winning in Nevada and Pennsylvania by slim margins, and I see nailbiters that either candidate could win, in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Now let me caveat my own findings.

In Michigan there's a Marist poll that's got Harris ahead by 3, while the rest of the recent and reasonable polls have the race too close to call. So as a nailbiter I still think Michigan is leaning Trump but it is a too close to call state. With Trump typically overperforming his polling, I think this should still go Trump.  However, I do not say that with overwhelming confidence and it could be stolen by Democrat shenanigans. 

The story in Wisconsin is similar to Michigan; a Marist poll pulling the average towards Kamala. Looking at only the three polls that I think fit the late stage and reasonable margin of error, sample size and likely without sample issues, I see Trump at 50.5% and Harris at 49.5%. Tight but winnable for Trump.

North Carolina has swung closer to Trump, but all of the four polls I am including are what most consider right-leaning pollsters; Fox, Rasmussen, Atlas Intel and Trafalgar. I'm not suggesting these pollsters are wrong, but there is a risk of confirmation bias and polling bias overstating Trump support. 

The same is true for Georgia (two polls, both from the aforementioned group) and to a lesser extent, Arizona (three polls, two right leaning and one I am unfamiliar with). It is also the case for Nevada, with 3 reasonable late polls all showing Trump ahead, but all three are right leaning pollsters. That said I think the first two states are both pretty solidly Trump. Nevada is probably a lot closer but I'd give a slight edge to Trump.

That leaves Pennsylvania, where there are seven viable polls. On the left leaning side, the Washington Post has Harris ahead by roughly 1, Marist has her ahead by 3. The other poll I think skews a bit left is Quinnipiac, which actually has Trump ahead by 2. The right leaning polls are as follows, Fox - Trump +2, Insider Advantage - Trump +1, Rasmussen - Trump +2 and Atlas Intel - Trump +2. I think Trump wins the state.

Overall, I still see Trump winning the electoral college, handily, minus any malfeasance.

For what it's worth, for the national popular vote I am seeing Trump at 50.94%.

Sunday verse

 

Ana Kasparian's slow walk to becoming based

Good for Ana Kasparian for leaving the Kool Aid cult. She's on her way to becoming a conservative, though it will take time.