Gen X Revenge

As a Gen X member, I get this:

Sunday verse

 

Two great observations from Ben Shapiro

Courtesy of Dave Rubin, two observations from Ben Shapiro, and the second one is just as impactful as the first:

An interesting turning

A personal take on how a black woman got slowly red-pilled and became a Trump supporter.

No strong women, huh?

Trump is never seen with smart strong women, right?

Your gurus were wrong

I'm not going to dance on the graves of my enemies here, but Alan Lichtman was wrong about a Kamala Harris win.  The thing is, his model wasn't wrong, just him.  The old saying garbage in - garbage out explains why he was wrong, even though he clearly doesn't get that yet.

He claimed 9 of his 13 predictors favored Harris. For the record, here the are, in a nutshell:

Key 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections.

Key 2 (Contest): There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.

Key 3 (Incumbency): The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.

Key 4 (Third party): There is no significant third-party or independent campaign.

Key 5 (Short-term economy): The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

Key 6 (Long-term economy): Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

Key 7 (Policy change): The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.

Key 8 (Social unrest): There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

Key 9 (Scandal): The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

Key 10 (Foreign/military failure): The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Key 11 (Foreign/military success): The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

Key 12 (Incumbent charisma): The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

Key 13 (Challenger charisma): The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

Here's the real score, via Tim Pool. And to be fair, Tim Pool is even being generous to Lichtman in his interpretation of the factors, and it still lands on Trump:

Just to top on that, Ann Selzer predicted, rather insanely, that Harris would win Iowa. How anyone believed her makes me incredulous.

The Iowa poll, conducted by Selzer & Company for The Des Moines Register/ Mediacom, found Harris had a three-point lead over Trump in the state, 47 percent to the Republican's 44 percent.

The poll surveyed 808 likely voters in Iowa between October 28 and 31 with its shock result falling within the poll's 3.4 percent margin of error.

Announcing her findings on Saturday, Selzer, previously described as "the best pollster in politics" by aggregator FiveThirtyEight, said Harris had "clearly leaped into a leading position."

However, the Iowa poll turned out to be wrong by 16 points following the results of Tuesday's election. The former president has won Iowa by 55.9 percent to Harris's 42.7 percent, a difference of 13.2 percent so far.

Sorry media, your gurus were wrong. Go get some new ones.